Sunday's tropical update delayed

Forecast models and maps have varied wildly over the last 12 hours.  As such, I'm not going to provide a complete morning update.  I'll let the forecasters look over the data today, and will post an update this evening.

The key is to not focus on a single track.  If you're in the error cone, you're at risk.  If you're caught off guard by this storm....well, it's your decision.

Having said that, here's this morning's NHC map:

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