The K5JAW Blog

Saturday, April 30, 2011

Hazardous Weather Outlook 4/30-5/1/2011

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
246 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI... NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SUNDAY

A FEW STRONG STORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT AND AGAIN SUNDAY IF
STORMS CAN ACTUALLY DEVELOP OR MOVE INTO THE NORTHWEST PORTION OF THE
FORECAST AREA. IF ANY OCCUR...THEN SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WOULD
BE POSSIBLE. HEAVY RAIN LOOKS TO REMAIN JUST OUT OF OUR AREA...BUT IF
ACTIVITY CAN DEVELOP FURTHER EAST...THE HEAVY RAIN RISK WOULD
INCREASE AS ALL ACTIVITY WILL MOVE SLOWLY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY.

***DO NOT USE THIS WEBSITE AS YOUR SOLE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION, ESPECIALLY WATCHES AND WARNINGS. THIS WEBSITE DELIVERS FOCUSED INFORMATION FOR A SPECIFIC GEOGRAPHIC AREA AND IS NOT INTENDED TO PROVIDE TIMELY WEATHER WARNING INFORMATION***

Thursday, April 28, 2011

Storms, Heavy Rain for Sunday 5/1/2011

A storm system with a slow moving front may bring strong to severe storms to the ARKLAMISS region for Sunday night into Monday. With good gulf moisture return, locally heavy rains may accompany these storms.

The Killer - by Marshall Ramsey

Mississippi editorial cartoonist and talk radio host Marshall Ramsey wrote a short story about yesterday's devestating tornado outbreak across the South. Click on The Killer to read this great work.

Wednesday, April 27, 2011

Graphicast 4/27/2011

Although this graphic shows the primary risk for tornadoes to be off to the south and east of the Delta area, we will see the potential for severe weather to develop during the day. As the day warms, expect atmospheric conditions to support thunderstorm development. High winds, hail, and tornadoes cannot be ruled out for any specific area.

Hazardous Weather Outlook - 4/27/2011

NOTE: There are two Hazardous Weather Outlooks below. Please notice the list of counties to determine which is appropriate for your area. These are early statements for the day. More may follow.

ADDITIONAL NOTE: Updates to this blog may be less frequent for today's events, as the author's property sustained minor damage that will require cleanup during the day today.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
535 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-034-281045-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-WASHINGTON-
535 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... 
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE REGION TODAY. THE 
PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER RISK WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS TO 70 MPH AND 
LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS OR LARGER ALTHOUGH A TORNADO 
CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. 

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR WITH THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND 
PONDING WATER CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS ROADWAYS AND IN LOW LYING 
AREAS. LOCAL FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY WHERE STORMS 
TRACK REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREAS. 

THE AIR MASS WILL DESTABILIZE THIS MORNING AND RECOVER SUFFICIENTLY 
TO PRODUCE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WHEN A STRONG WEATHER SYSTEM 
MOVES INTO THE AREA. 

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER 
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED TODAY.

MSZ025>033-035>061-281045-
LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-
OKTIBBEHA-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-
SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-
SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-
CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-
535 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE POTENTIAL FOR AN OUTBREAK OF SEVERE WEATHER CONTINUES FOR THE 
AREA TODAY. LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS OR LARGER AND 
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH WILL BE THE PRIMARY RISK WITH THESE 
STORMS EARLY THIS MORNING WITH AN INCREASING RISK OF TORNADOES 
DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. STRONG TORNADOES...POSSIBLY 
LONG TRACK...WILL BE POSSIBLE.

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR WITH THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND 
PONDING WATER CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS ROADWAYS AND IN LOW LYING 
AREAS. LOCAL FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY WHERE STORMS 
TRACK REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREAS.

THE AIR MASS WILL RECOVER QUICKLY THIS MORNING IN STRONG SOUTHERLY 
WINDS ACROSS THE AREA. A STRONG WEATHER SYSTEM THAT WILL MOVE INTO 
THE REGION TODAY WILL PRODUCE SEVERE STORMS ACROSS THE AREA.
   
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER 
OPERATIONS...WILL BE LIKELY TODAY.

Tuesday, April 26, 2011

Tornado Watch until 5:00AM 4/27/2011

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 222
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   935 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SMALL PART OF NORTHWEST ALABAMA
          PARTS OF SOUTHERN ARKANSAS
          MUCH OF NORTHERN LOUISIANA
          MUCH OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 935 PM
   UNTIL 500 AM CDT.
   
   ...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
   
   DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
   THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
   POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
   MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
   SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA TO 50 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF TUPELO
   MISSISSIPPI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 215...WW 217...WW
   218...WW 219...WW 220...WW 221...
   
   DISCUSSION...CONDITIONS REMAIN VERY FAVORABLE FOR TORNADIC
   SUPERCELLS TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE EWD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA
   THRU THE NIGHT. WITH VERY STRONG VEERING SHEAR PROFILES AND MLCAPES
   AOA 2500 J/KG LONG LIVED SUPERCELLS ARE LIKELY WITH POTENTIAL FOR
   STRONG...DAMAGING TORNADOS.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.

Graphicast - 7:30 PM 4/26/2011

NWS Jackson just posted this information, and it looks like the Delta area will have a couple of hours before we see any storms. There have been reports of damage to our north in Coahoma County, but that weather is moving northeast away from us. Storms developing over west-central Louisiana and southwest Arkansas will be moving into our area later tonight. As always, things can change quickly, so stay alert!