Watches, Warnings & Advisories for Sunflower Co.

Saturday, March 31, 2012

Storms Possible 3/31/12

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
543 AM CDT SAT MAR 31 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH...NORTHEAST AND EAST
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PATCHY FOG THAT WAS LOCALLY DENSE IN PLACES WILL BURN OFF BY MID
MORNING. THEN...A FAST-MOVING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS
A HIGHLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS THIS AFTERNOON TO BRING A RISK FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO THE OUTLOOK AREA FROM
ABOUT NOON UNTIL 9 PM TONIGHT...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A MERIDIAN
TO GREENVILLE MISSISSIPPI LINE. THESE STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
FOR HAIL UP TO HALF DOLLAR SIZE AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 65 MPH.
THE STORMS SHOULD DISSIPATE AFTER SUNSET.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A STRONG SPRING STORM SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO THE
OUTLOOK AREA SOMETIME DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE NEW WORK WEEK...
BRINGING WITH IT A MULTIPLE CHANCES FOR SEVERE STORMS. MUCH
UNCERTAINTY REMAINS WITH THE EXACT TIMING AND TRACK OF THIS
SYSTEM...THEREFORE RESIDENTS ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA SHOULD CONTINUE
TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS CONCERNING THIS SEVERE WEATHER
POTENTIAL FOR NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND AGAIN
AT TIMES DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE NEW WORK WEEK.



***DO NOT USE THIS WEBSITE AS YOUR SOLE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION, ESPECIALLY WATCHES AND WARNINGS. THIS WEBSITE DELIVERS FOCUSED INFORMATION FOR A SPECIFIC GEOGRAPHIC AREA AND IS NOT INTENDED TO PROVIDE TIMELY WEATHER WARNING INFORMATION***

Thursday, March 29, 2012

Storms possible Monday, 4/2/12

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
431 AM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
ARKANSAS...NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL
DOWNPOURS...SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE TWENTY CORRIDOR.

STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH SHOULD DEVELOP MONDAY AS
THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE
STARTING MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. A POWERFUL SPRING
STORM SYSTEM WILL BE SWEEPING PLENTY OF INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR
THROUGH OUR REGION FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BRINGING THE RISK FOR
SEVERE STORMS...INCLUDING TORNADOES. ALL RESIDENTS WILL NEED TO STAY
TUNED TO LATER FORECASTS CONCERNING THIS SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS WILL PROBABLY BE NEEDED MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT.
 
 

***DO NOT USE THIS WEBSITE AS YOUR SOLE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION, ESPECIALLY WATCHES AND WARNINGS. THIS WEBSITE DELIVERS FOCUSED INFORMATION FOR A SPECIFIC GEOGRAPHIC AREA AND IS NOT INTENDED TO PROVIDE TIMELY WEATHER WARNING INFORMATION***

Tuesday, March 20, 2012

Wet Week Ahead

It looks like we're in for a round of slow-moving rain over the next few days.  Generally, 1 to 3 to 5 inches of rain are forecast across Mississippi through Thursday.  Currently, the Highway 82 corridor appears to be in for up to 3 inches of rain, with higher amounts - up to 5 inches - to the south of the Delta.  A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for areas south of a line from Greenville to Laurel.

For Wednesday, there is a chance for strong to severe storms, but those should stay generally to the south of the Delta area.  However, heavy rainfall can be expected.

Here's  a couple of graphics that lay out the current forecast.



***DO NOT USE THIS WEBSITE AS YOUR SOLE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION, ESPECIALLY WATCHES AND WARNINGS. THIS WEBSITE DELIVERS FOCUSED INFORMATION FOR A SPECIFIC GEOGRAPHIC AREA AND IS NOT INTENDED TO PROVIDE TIMELY WEATHER WARNING INFORMATION***

Sunday, March 11, 2012

Hazardous Weather Outlook - 3/11/12

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
224 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
ARKANSAS...NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...AND PORTIONS OF WESTERN
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND MONDAY

A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING FOR AREAS
ALONG AND WEST OF A CLEVELAND...TO LAKE PROVIDENCE...TO ACME
LOUISIANA LINE AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES IN FROM THE WEST. THESE STORMS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL TO QUARTER
SIZE. TORNADOES WITH THIS ACTIVITY CANNOT BE RULED OUT...BUT THE
TORNADO RISK IS HIGHEST ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS AND MOREHOUSE
PARISH IN LOUISIANA.

OTHERWISE...A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF WIND GUSTS UP TO 50
MPH AND PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING THROUGH
TONIGHT ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF A NATCHEZ...TO VICKSBURG...TO
GREENWOOD LINE. IN ADDITION...THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR
REPEATED HEAVY DOWNPOURS OVER THIS PERIOD AND ISOLATED RAINFALL
TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY

THE SAME SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHOULD CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY AFTERNOON. SOME OF
THESE STORMS WILL BE STRONG AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS TO
50 MPH AND PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL. A FEW SEVERE STORMS PRODUCING
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZE WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING AND TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
 

***DO NOT USE THIS WEBSITE AS YOUR SOLE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION, ESPECIALLY WATCHES AND WARNINGS. THIS WEBSITE DELIVERS FOCUSED INFORMATION FOR A SPECIFIC GEOGRAPHIC AREA AND IS NOT INTENDED TO PROVIDE TIMELY WEATHER WARNING INFORMATION***

Saturday, March 10, 2012

Disaster Preps: Information

Have you seen Doomsday Preppers on the National Geographic Channel?  Unfortunately Thankfully, we don't get the NatGeo channel on our satellite, so I haven't seen it.  But from what I've heard and read around the web, it's...um...interesting.  Something tells me the producers found the most radical people out there and put them on TV.  That's good for ratings I guess, but doing so casts a bad light on the notion of disaster preparedness for your family.  There are plenty of simple, relatively inexpensive steps you can take to soften the blow of a sudden emergency or disaster.

In a previous entry about Community Emergency Response Teams, I mentioned that we would offer simple ideas on a regular basis, to help you with planning for your family's protection.

Family disaster planning can be as small, or as big of a project as you want it to be.  In this series of articles, we'll give you an outline of themes - security, sustenance, supplies, safety, etc., and try not to get "down in the weeds" of details.

This week, I'm going to re-post an article we featured in October of 2011.  Recent major disasters have taught us that personal information is as important as food and water.  Yes, a notebook won't keep you alive, but the information contained within will give you an advantage when calamity visits.  Brief medical records, banking records, vital records, all are important to rebuild your post-disaster life.  The data about your life isn't the first thing you pack up to evacuate.  A week or two later though, you'll wish you had it.

Here's a re-run of that post entry:

Thursday, October 20, 2011

Preparedness: The Big Book

Disaster preparedness and planning can be a complex, lengthy, and sometimes expensive endeavor.  Communities, states, and federal authorities constantly refine their plans for response and recovery.  Mitigation projects like flood control systems and building codes help reduce the potential effects of disasters.  Preparedness requires that we acquire and maintain supplies, equipment, and trained personnel in a state of readiness.  While our governing authorities do what they can, there remains one area of preparedness that no governmental entity can address:  you and your family's own personal state of readiness.  By undertaking a family disaster planning project, you can reduce your household's potential demands on your community's response.  By extension, the more well-prepared families there are, the more prepared the overall community is.

There are dozens of resources online to guide you through various aspects of personal disaster preparedness.  www.ready.gov is a great place to find basic information on disaster kits, food and water supply ideas, and other simple steps you can take.

While food, water, clothing, and shelter are absolutely essential to survival, I want to use this blog entry to remind you that following the immediate threats of an emergency, information is as essential to your recovery as the items previously mentioned.

A highly useful tool that I'm adding to my family's growing emergency plan is The Big Book of Everything, compiled by Erik A. Dewey.  Clicking that link will take you to a page where you can download either an Adobe PDF, or Microsoft Excel version of The Big Book.

The Big Book may seem daunting at first, but by compiling the information in incremental steps over the period of a few weeks, you'll develop a comprehensive document that details emergency information such as family contacts, as well as capturing important financial and other critical data.

What do you do with all this valuable - and sensitive - information?  I wouldn't recommend having a printed copy laying around the house for burglars to find your banking information.  Instead, print out only those essential pages that contain emergency points of contact, and keep it safely stored in a location known by all family members.

An option that we're exploring is storing a non-editable PDF version of The Big Book on key-shaped flash drives.  These won't occupy valuable space in your pocket, but will allow you to keep vital information easily accessible.  Yes, it is sensitive data.  But you can easily encrypt it using a very lightweight program called TrueCrypt, for which the price is right: it's absolutely free.  We'll also store scanned copies of important documents in that encrypted file as well.  If you wish, it may be helpful to have a non-encrypted version of The Big Book on your jump drive.  Just redact any information that could be used should the drive become lost. (Think CIA black pen marks - just black out the sensitive information on Excel then save it as a PDF).

We'll most likely have multiple copies of these flash drives, distributed out to family members both locally and non-local.  Twice a year (or more often if needed) they'll be collected and updated as information changes.

Why go through this exercise?  We have the capacity to digitize a huge portion of our lives, for relatively little cost.  I have several years worth of bank records, payroll records, and other documents stored digitally in multiple locations.  In the unlikely event that a disaster requires our evacuation, consider how much time we would save by not having to identify, find, collect, and store the paper documents.  Digital copies will never replace certified originals. Having volumes of information compressed into something the size of my house key, easily portable and securely encrypted will give my family the chance of a less-stressful recovery should we need it.

The Big Book isn't - and shouldn't be - your family's entire disaster plan.  It is just one part of a multifaceted plan that includes out-of-town/state contacts, pre-determined family evacuation locations (in town, out of town), basic food & water supplies, and emergency action steps for specific hazards like fires and thunderstorms.  The Big Book does, however, give you a one-stop-shop for a host of critical information that you'll wish you had.

What's your plan?

Make a Change....

Want to make two quick, positive changes for you family tonight?  Two simple things that can keep you on time, and possibly save your lives?

Set your clocks ahead one hour tonight before bedtime!


And, change the batteries in your smoke detectors!

Quick, simple, easy...

Hazardous Weather Outlook for 3/11-12/12

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
349 AM CST SAT MAR 10 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...EXTREME
SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND PORTIONS OF WESTERN MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH AND
NICKEL TO PENNY SIZED HAIL COULD BE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT ALONG AND NORTH OF A NATCHEZ...TO VICKSBURG...TO
GRENADA LINE. IN ADDITION...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF
WINNSBORO TO GREENWOOD LINE...THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR
REPEATED HEAVY DOWNPOURS OVER THIS PERIOD AND ISOLATED RAINFALL
TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. FLOODING IS GENERALLY NOT
ANTICIPATED ALTHOUGH A FEW PONDING OF WATER ISSUES MAY ARISE.

THE SAME SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY COULD CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY AFTERNOON. A FEW OF
THESE STORMS...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE HIGHWAY 82
CORRIDOR...COULD BE STRONG AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS TO 50
MPH AND NICKEL TO PENNY SIZE HAIL.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY.


***DO NOT USE THIS WEBSITE AS YOUR SOLE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION, ESPECIALLY WATCHES AND WARNINGS. THIS WEBSITE DELIVERS FOCUSED INFORMATION FOR A SPECIFIC GEOGRAPHIC AREA AND IS NOT INTENDED TO PROVIDE TIMELY WEATHER WARNING INFORMATION***