The K5JAW Blog

Friday, August 31, 2012

Hazardous Weather Outlook: 31AUG12, Noon

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1059 AM CDT FRI AUG 31 2012

GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-
HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-
CLARKE-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-
LAMAR-FORREST-
1059 AM CDT FRI AUG 31 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MOST OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR
ISOLATED TORNADOES TODAY AS THE REMANANT OF ISSAC PUSHES INTO
MISSOURI TODAY. ADEQUATE WINDSHEAR...COMBINED WITH DAYTIME
HEATING...RESULTING IN SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY...WILL CAUSE STORMS TO
DEVELOP OVER THE AREA WHICH COULD PRODUCE ISOLATED TORNADOES THROUGH
EARLY THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

$$

ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-
WARREN-CLAIBORNE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-
1059 AM CDT FRI AUG 31 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND WESTERN PORTION OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI WEST OF
INTERSTATE 55.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
THERE WILL BE THE BETTER POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES TODAY ACROSS THIS
AREA AS THE REMANANTS OF ISSAC PUSHES INTO MISSOURI TODAY. ADEQUATE
WINDSHEAR...COMBINED WITH DAYTIME HEATING...RESULTING IN SUFFICIENT
INSTABILITY...WILL CAUSE STORMS TO DEVELOP OVER THE AREA WHICH COULD
PRODUCE TORNADOES THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

THERE WILL ALSO BE THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AS BANDS OF HEAVY
RAINS PUSH NORTHWARD OVER THE REGION.  RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH ISAAC
WILL PIVOT ACROSS THE REGION BRINGING RAINFALL RATES OCCASIONALLY IN
EXCESS OF AN INCH PER HOUR...WHICH MAY CAUSE SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

***DO NOT USE THIS WEBSITE AS YOUR SOLE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION, ESPECIALLY WATCHES AND WARNINGS. THIS WEBSITE DELIVERS FOCUSED INFORMATION FOR A SPECIFIC GEOGRAPHIC AREA AND IS NOT INTENDED TO PROVIDE TIMELY WEATHER WARNING INFORMATION***

Thursday, August 30, 2012

Rainfall Estimates

The graphic below is the rainfall estimate for the period between August 30 and September 1, superimposed onto a Google Earth map. Remember, these are estimates. Any given location may see slightly more, or less, than anticipated.

Beware of flash flooding and flooded areas. Do not drive through flood waters!

Hazardous Weather Outlook 11:15am 30 AUG 12

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1116 AM CDT THU AUG 30 2012

ASHLEY-CHICOT-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-
ATTALA-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-JASPER-CLARKE-
1116 AM CDT THU AUG 30 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWEST OVER
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA TODAY...EXPECT GUSTY WINDS TO CONTINUE TO AFFECT
EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND SOME CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE ARKLAMISS
REGION. A WIND ADVISORY IN IS IN EFFECT FOR THESE LOCATIONS...AND
OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS ABOVE 35 ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH AT LEAST LATE
TODAY. A FEW DEAD OR WEAK TREES MAY BE BLOWN DOWN THROUGH THE COURSE
OF TODAY...WITH SOME FALLING ONTO POWER LINES RESULTING IN POWER
OUTAGES.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF THESE AREAS AS HEAVY
RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY. RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED
WITH ISAAC WILL PIVOT ACROSS THE REGION BRINGING RAINFALL RATES
OCCASIONALLY IN EXCESS OF AN INCH PER HOUR. THIS HEAVY RAIN WILL
EVENTUALLY RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL.

IN ADDITION...THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES WILL ALSO EXIST ACROSS THE
OUTLOOK AREA TODAY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THIS RISK FOR TORNADOES
WILL BE GREATEST OVER AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF A GREENVILLE TO
BROOKHAVEN LINE.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE REMNANTS OF ISAAC WILL BE PULLING AWAY FROM OUR REGION INTO
NORTHERN ARKANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI TOMORROW NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND SOME GUSTY WINDS MAY PERSIST IN AT LEAST THE
ARKLAMISS DELTA THURSDAY EVENING...BUT SHOULD BE DIMINISHING A GREAT
DEAL BY FRIDAY.


.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...WILL BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

$$

MSZ025>033-038-039-311630-
LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-
OKTIBBEHA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-
1116 AM CDT THU AUG 30 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC CONTINUES SLOWLY MOVING NORTHWEST OVER
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...EXPECT LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS TO CONTINUE OVER
OVER NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI...MAINLY
ALONG AND NORTH OF THE HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR. RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED
WITH ISAAC WILL PIVOT ACROSS THE REGION MORE FREQUENTLY TODAY. THIS
HEAVY RAIN MAY EVENTUALLY RESULT IN THE PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADS...AS WELL AS IN LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS THROUGH
TODAY.

IN ADDITION...THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES WILL ALSO EXIST ACROSS THE
OUTLOOK AREA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THIS RISK FOR TORNADOES WILL BE
GREATEST OVER AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF A GREENVILLE TO BROOKHAVEN
LINE.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...WILL BE NEEDED TODAY.

Hazardous Weather Outlook 30 AUG 12, 10:00am

Today will be a very active weather day as the remnants of Isaac pass to our west. The current track is a bit more east than originally forecast, which means we have an increased risk of severe weather, tornadoes, and torrential rainfall today and tonight.

A TORNADO WATCH is in effect for Attala, Leflore, Montgomery, Holmes, Humphreys, and Carroll counties until 4:00pm

We can expect to see scattered downing of trees today, which can cause power outages. Be prepared to deal with extended power outages, as power companies may not deploy personnel under extreme weather conditions. Additionally, with the widespread damage in south Mississippi, power crews are extremely busy and it may take some time to restore power in your area.

Instead of starting with the Hazardous Weather Outlook text, I'll present this morning's graphics for you. The HWO text follows.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
651 AM CDT THU AUG 30 2012

ASHLEY-CHICOT-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-
ATTALA-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-JASPER-CLARKE-
651 AM CDT THU AUG 30 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWEST AWAY FROM
THE COAST TODAY...EXPECT GUSTY WINDS TO CONTINUE TO AFFECT EXTREME
SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND SOME CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE ARKLAMISS
REGION. A WIND ADVISORY IN IS IN EFFECT FOR THESE LOCATIONS...AND
OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS ABOVE 35 ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH AT LEAST LATE
TODAY. A FEW DEAD OR WEAK TREES MAY BE BLOWN DOWN THROUGH THE COURSE
OF TODAY...WITH SOME FALLING ONTO POWER LINES RESULTING IN POWER OUTAGES.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF THESE AREAS AS HEAVY
RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY. RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED
WITH ISAAC WILL PIVOT ACROSS THE REGION BRINGING RAINFALL RATES
OCCASIONALLY IN EXCESS OF AN INCH PER HOUR. THIS HEAVY RAIN WILL
EVENTUALLY RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL.

IN ADDITION...THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES WILL ALSO EXIST ACROSS THE
OUTLOOK AREA TODAY...ESPECIALLY FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS RISK FOR TORNADOES WILL BE GREATEST OVER AREAS ALONG
AND EAST OF A GREENVILLE TO BROOKHAVEN LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

THE REMNANTS OF ISAAC WILL BE PULLING AWAY FROM OUR REGION INTO
NORTHERN ARKANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI TOMORROW NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND SOME GUSTY WINDS MAY PERSIST IN AT LEAST THE
ARKLAMISS DELTA THURSDAY EVENING...BUT SHOULD BE DIMINISHING A GREAT
DEAL BY FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS WILL BE NEEDED THROUGH AT LEAST TONIGHT.

LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-
OKTIBBEHA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-
651 AM CDT THU AUG 30 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE GOLDEN TRIANGLE AREA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC CONTINUES SLOWLY MORNING NORTHWEST AWAY FROM
THE COAST TODAY...EXPECT LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS TO GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER
NORTH CENTRAL PORTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR. RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH ISAAC WILL PIVOT
ACROSS THE REGION MORE FREQUENTLY TODAY. THIS HEAVY RAIN MAY
EVENTUALLY RESULT IN THE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AS WELL AS IN
LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS THROUGH TODAY.

IN ADDITION...THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES WILL ALSO EXIST ACROSS THE
OUTLOOK AREA TODAY...ESPECIALLY FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS RISK FOR TORNADOES WILL BE GREATEST OVER AREAS ALONG
AND EAST OF A GREENVILLE TO BROOKHAVEN LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED TODAY.

Wednesday, August 29, 2012

Hazardous Weather Outlook: 29-30 Aug 12

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
416 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

ARZ074-075-MSZ034>037-040>046-050>052-057-058-302115-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-ISSAQUENA-
SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-SCOTT-NEWTON-
LAUDERDALE-JASPER-CLARKE-
416 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY

AS STRONG TROPICAL STORM ISAAC MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWEST AWAY FROM THE
COAST THROUGH TOMORROW EXPECT GUSTY WINDS TO AFFECT EXTREME SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS AND SOME CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE ARKLAMISS REGION. A
WIND ADVISORY IN IS IN EFFECT FOR THESE LOCATIONS...AND OCCASIONAL
WIND GUSTS ABOVE 35 ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY TOMORROW. A
FEW DEAD OR WEAK TREES MAY BE BLOWN DOWN BY LATER TONIGHT AFTER THE
GROUND BECOMES SATURATED.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF THESE AREAS AS HEAVY
RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED
WITH ISAAC WILL PIVOT ACROSS THE REGION BRINGING RAINFALL RATES
OCCASIONALLY IN EXCESS OF AN INCH PER HOUR. THIS HEAVY RAIN WILL
EVENTUALLY RESULT IN AT LEAST ISOLATED FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL.

IN ADDITION...THE POTENTIAL FOR BRIEF TORNADOES WILL EXPAND FROM
MAINLY SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI THIS AFTERNOON TO INCLUDE CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT. THIS RISK WILL ENCOMPASS THE WHOLE OF THE AREA
ON THURSDAY...BUT WILL LIKELY TAPER OFF IN SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI
IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY

THE REMNANTS OF ISAAC WILL BE PULLING AWAY FROM OUR REGION INTO
NORTHERN ARKANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI TOMORROW NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND SOME GUSTY WINDS MAY PERSIST IN AT LEAST THE
ARKLAMISS DELTA THURSDAY EVENING...BUT SHOULD BE DIMINISHING A GREAT
DEAL BY FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...WILL BE NECESSARY THROUGH TOMORROW.

$$

MSZ018-019-025>033-038-039-302115-
BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-
LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-
416 PM CDT WED AUG 29 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE GOLDEN TRIANGLE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY

AS STRONG TROPICAL STORM ISAAC MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWEST AWAY FROM THE
COAST THROUGH TOMORROW EXPECT LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS TO GRADUALLY
INCREASE OVER NORTH CENTRAL PORTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI...MAINLY ALONG
AND NORTH OF THE HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR. RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH
ISAAC WILL PIVOT ACROSS THE REGION MORE FREQUENTLY LATE TONIGHT INTO
EARLY TOMORROW. THIS HEAVY RAIN MAY EVENTUALLY RESULT IN AT LEAST
A FEW PONDING OF WATER ISSUES BY LATE THURSDAY OR THURSDAY NIGHT.

IN ADDITION...THE POTENTIAL FOR BRIEF TORNADOES SHOULD EXPAND NORTH
INTO THE AREA TOMORROW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY

THE REMNANTS OF ISAAC WILL BE PULLING AWAY FROM OUR REGION INTO
NORTHERN ARKANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI TOMORROW NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND SOME GUSTY WINDS MAY PERSIST IN AT LEAST THE
ARKLAMISS DELTA THURSDAY EVENING...BUT SHOULD BE DIMINISHING A GREAT
DEAL BY FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH TOMORROW.

Health & Welfare

As I write this entry, I'm winding down a two-hour stint as the net control station for the Mississippi Emergency Net, established to handle health & welfare traffic from areas of the state affected by Hurricane Isaac.

In disasters, telephone circuits can become overloaded very quickly, provided they're not damaged by the emergency itself. Cellular telephone systems are vulnerable to this overload as well. In times when normal communications systems are unavailable, a tried-and-true system of passing messaged to loved ones remains available: amateur radio.

Amateur radio operators have the ability to link to other stations across the state and nation. "Passing traffic", or relaying important messages for friends and family, is a core function of the amateur radio service.

If you live in an area affected by disaster and cannot contact friends and family outside of the area, you may find amateur radio stations set up at shelters and county emergency operations centers. There, radio operators can assist you compose a telegram-like message, called a Radiogram, to send out of the area.

Examples of pre-formatted health & welfare messages include the following:

ARL-One: Everyone safe here. Please don't worry
ARL-Two: Coming home as soon as possible
ARL-Three: Am in _____ hospital. Receiving excellent care and recovering fine.
ARL-Four: Only slight property damage here. Do not be concerned about disaster reports.

There are many more emergency-related pre-formatted messages, or you can format your own unique message to communicate your status and well-being to relatives.

You can also send Radiograms during non-emergency times. Greetings for holidays, birthdays, or other special events can be sent in this old-fashioned, but proven method.

Amateur radio may seem like a quaint and somewhat antiquated hobby, but when other methods fail, you can depend on an amateur radio operator to pass your message along!

Hurricane Isaac #14, 29 AUG 12, 10:00AM

Hurricane Isaac continues to deluge southern Mississippi and southeast Louisiana with torrential rainfall as it slows down to a 6 mile-per-hour crawl in forward speed. The forecast track for Isaac has shifted westward again, which hopefully improves the situation for Mississippi.

Forecast conditions for the Mississippi Delta have improved with this new forecast track. Wind and rainfall estimates have continued to be revised downward. Wind conditions across the Mississippi Delta through Thursday will consist of sustained 15-25mph winds with gusts of 35-45mph possible in some areas of the Detla. Rainfall estimates now range from 1 to 4 inches, with the highest amounts expected in Washington and Humphreys counties and areas to the south. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for a large portion of central and south Mississippi, generally along the Highway 16 corridor counties from the Alabama line to Yazoo County, then northwestward to include Washington and Humphreys counties.

The risk for severe weather, including tornadoes, increases through Thursday as Isaac passes to our west.