FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1117 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2011
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
ARKANSAS...MISSISSIPPI...LOUISIANA..
*MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR ARKANSAS CITY AFFECTING CHICOT...DESHA...
BOLIVAR AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES
*MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR GREENVILLE AFFECTING CHICOT...EAST
CARROLL...ISSAQUENA AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES
*MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT VICKSBURG AFFECTING MADISON...TENSAS...
CLAIBORNE...JEFFERSON AND WARREN COUNTIES/PARISHES
*MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT NATCHEZ AFFECTING CONCORDIA...ADAMS AND
WILKINSON COUNTIES/PARISHES
SYSNOPSIS...
RECORD FLOODING IS EXPECTED FROM VICKSBURG TO NATCHEZ. OVER THE
LAST 48 HOURS...RAINFALL FROM 3 TO 10 INCHES HAS OCCURRED FROM
SOUTHWEST THROUGH CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND INTO WEST TENNESSEE.
ALSO, RAINFALL FROM 3 TO 8 INCHES HAS OCCURRED FROM NORTH ARKANSAS
ACROSS THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL AND OVER CAIRO ILLINOIS AND UP THE
OHIO RIVER VALLEY. THIS RAINFALL HAS FALLEN ON ALREADY SWOLLEN OHIO...
MISSISSIPPI...ARKANSAS...AND WHITE RIVERS. THE LOWER OHIO RIVER
AT CAIRO HAS SURGED UPWARD TODAY AND IS EXPECTED TO CREST AT
63.0 FEET ON MAY 5TH. THE CREST FORECAST FOR THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER FROM ARKANSAS CITY TO GREENVILLE HAS BEEN RAISED 4 TO 5 FEET.
THIS IS BELOW THE FLOOD OF 1927 AND THE FLOOD OF 1937 AT ARKANSAS
CITY. THE CREST AT GREENVILLE IS BELOW THE FLOOD OF 1927 BUT IS ABOVE
THE FLOOD OF 1937. WE WILL HAVE RECORD RIVER CRESTS FROM VICKSBURG
TO NATCHEZ. BACKWATER FLOODING ALONG THE YAZOO RIVER WILL INCREASE
SIGNIFICANTLY. WE ARE OVER TWO WEEKS AWAY FROM THE CURRENT RIVER
CRESTS AND THERE WILL BE A POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACROSS ARKANSAS INTO MISSOURI AND UP THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. PLEASE
STAY INFORMED OVER THE 2 TO 3 WEEKS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON`T
DROWN!
THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.
&&
ARC017-041-MSC011-151-041017-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARSA4.3.ER.110428T1037Z.110514T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1117 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2011
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR ARKANSAS CITY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 42.4 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 37.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 53.5 FEET BY
SATURDAY..MAY 14TH.
* IMPACT...AT 44.0 FEET...WATER IS ON THE LEVEES IN THE ARKANSAS CITY
AREA. TRAILERS EVACUATED FROM THE HUNTING CLUB ON HUNTINGTON POINT
MISSISSIPPI DUE TO HIGH WATER. ALL OF THE LAND INSIDE LEVEE
PROTECTION IS INUNDATED.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME TUE WED THU CREST DAY TIME
LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
ARKANSAS CITY 37 42.4 MON 10 PM 43.1 44.3 45.6 53.5 5/14
$$
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR GREENVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 53.5 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 48.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 64.5 FEET BY
SUNDAY...MAY 15TH.
* IMPACT...AT 58.0 FEET...WATER IS OVER 2 FEET DEEP IN FARMER`S GRAIN
TERMINAL BUILDING SOUTH OF GREENVILLE BRIDGE.
* IMPACT...AT 57.0 FEET...MORE OF HARBOR FRONT ROAD IS UNDER WATER AND
IS DEEPER AT THE SOUTH END.
* IMPACT...AT 56.5 FEET...SOUTH END OF THE HARBOR ROAD IS INUNDATED.
* IMPACT...AT 55.0 FEET...PRACTICALLY ALL AREAS BETWEEN LEVEES ARE
FLOODED. APPROXIMATELY 50 BUILDINGS HAVE WATER INSIDE THEM. WATER
ENTERS GRAIN TERMINAL BUILDING SOUTH OF GREENVILLE BRIDGE. ELECTRIC
POWER IS TURNED OFF TO LAKE FERGUSON AREA.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME TUE WED THU CREST DAY TIME
LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
GREENVILLE 48 53.5 MON 10 PM 54.0 55.2 56.3 64.5 5/15
$$
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT VICKSBURG
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 45.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 43.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 57.5 FEET BY
WEDENSDAY...MAY 18TH.
* IMPACT...AT 55.0 FEET...HIGHWAY 61 NORTH OF VICKSBURG IS FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 46.5 FEET...PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 465, EAGLE LAKE ROAD AND
SEVERAL HOUSES ARE UNDERWATER. PORTIONS OF LETOURNEAU ROAD IN SOUTH
VICKSBURG ARE FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 46.0 FEET...WATER LEVEL REACHES THE GRAIN BINS AT THE
BUNGE GRAIN FACILITY AT SAINT JOSEPH LOUISIANA. FORD STREET IN
NORTH VICKSBURG BEGINSTO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 45.0 FEET...FORD AND KINGS SUBDIVISION AT WILLIAMS
STREET BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 44.6 FEET...RESIDENCE ON WILLIAMS STREET IN VICKSBURG
BEGINS TO FLOOD.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME TUE WED THU CREST DAY TIME
LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VICKSBURG 43 45.6 MON 10 PM 46.1 47.1 48.0 57.5 5/18
$$
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT NATCHEZ
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 50.8 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 48.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 65.0 FEET BY
FRIDAY...MAY 20TH.
* IMPACT...AT 56.0 FEET...SOUTH OF NATCHEZ...BOURKE ROAD IS
UNDERWATER. RESIDENTS WILL HAVE TO BOAT INTO THEIR HOMES. ALL
HOMES IN THE TOWNSHIP OF FORT ADAMS ARE FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 55.5 FEET...RESIDENTS AT THE END OF PERCY CREEK SAND
ROAD ARE DENIED ACCESS TO THEIR HOMES DUE TO HIGH WATER.
* IMPACT...AT 55.0 FEET...IN FORT ADAMS POND ROAD IS FLOODED. EIGHT TO
ELEVEN HOMES ARE UNDER WATER IN THE TOWNSHIPOF FORT ADAMS. BOURKE
ROAD IS FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 53.0 FEET...SOME CAMPS AND HOUSES ARE FLOODED AROUND
FORT ADAMS.
* IMPACT...AT 51.0 FEET...WATER IS COVERING THE ROADS IN OLD DOWNTOWN
AREA OF FORT ADAMS. ROAD TO JACKSON POINT IS FLOODED.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 6AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME TUE WED THU CREST DAY TIME
LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
NATCHEZ 48 50.8 MON 10 PM 51.2 52.1 53.1 65.0 5/20
$$
ALLEN
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