Watches, Warnings & Advisories for Sunflower Co.

Monday, November 21, 2011

Hazardous Weather Outlook for Tuesday Nov 22, 2011

As promised, here is the most current thinking on the potential for severe weather on Tuesday, 11/22/2011

As a cold front approaches western Mississippi early tomorrow, a line of thunderstorms will develop along the front.  Additionally, there is the potential for discrete thunderstorms to develop independently ahead of the frontal boundary.  Hail, high winds and locally heavy rainfall are all possible with these storms.  Tornado development cannot be ruled out as these storms pass.

Storm development is expected to begin in the western portions of Mississippi around daybreak, from 6am through noon.  Areas along the Natchez Trace corridor should see storms move through between 11am and 5pm, and finally areas of southeastern Mississippi will see the front pass through between 3pm and midnight.  The greatest potential for severe weather development is expected to be south of a line from Grenada, Mississippi, to Morehouse Parish, Louisiana.  While this indicates less risk for the western portion of the Mississippi Delta (Bolivar, Sunflower, Washington counties), readers in those area should remain alert to developing weather conditions. 

Illustrative graphics can be found below the hazardous weather outlook.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
311 PM CST MON NOV 21 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY EVENING.
THE PRIMARY HAZARD WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS...BUT
TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. A SQUALL LINE IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT EARLY
TUESDAY AND PROGRESS EASTWARD. THE LINE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA BY MID MORNING...THE CENTRAL
PORTIONS OF THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON...AND EXIT THE SOUTHEAST
TUESDAY EVENING. ALTHOUGH THE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE
WHOLE OUTLOOK AREA...THE AREA ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM WINNSBORO
LOUISIANA TO GRENADA MISSISSIPPI APPEARS TO HAVE THE GREATEST CHANCE
OF EXPERIENCING SEVERE STORMS TUESDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY EVENING.
 


***DO NOT USE THIS WEBSITE AS YOUR SOLE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION, ESPECIALLY WATCHES AND WARNINGS. THIS WEBSITE DELIVERS FOCUSED INFORMATION FOR A SPECIFIC GEOGRAPHIC AREA AND IS NOT INTENDED TO PROVIDE TIMELY WEATHER WARNING INFORMATION***

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