Hazardous Weather Outlook, Tuesday 11/15/2011

Tuesday afternoon and evening could see the development of strong to severe thunderstorms over a good portion of Mississippi.  Timing and severity are difficult to predict right now, as several variables are in play, including daytime heating & instability development, wind shear, and the amount of moisture available.  Right now, it looks like areas along and east of Interstate 55 will see the first development of rains Tuesday afternoon, then storms in western areas of the state will follow later in the day.  Rainfall amounts, however, should remain relatively low in any given location.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
230 PM CST MON NOV 14 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND TUESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY NIGHT. THE
PRIMARY HAZARD WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 60
MPH BUT WEAK TORNADOES CAN NOT BE RULED OUT.

THE FEED OF GULF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TUESDAY EVENING.
THE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN MARGINALLY UNSTABLE BUT STRONG WIND SHEAR
THAT WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT
THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED TUESDAY NIGHT.

***DO NOT USE THIS WEBSITE AS YOUR SOLE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION, ESPECIALLY WATCHES AND WARNINGS. THIS WEBSITE DELIVERS FOCUSED INFORMATION FOR A SPECIFIC GEOGRAPHIC AREA AND IS NOT INTENDED TO PROVIDE TIMELY WEATHER WARNING INFORMATION***