Watches, Warnings & Advisories for Sunflower Co.

Wednesday, April 10, 2013

Storm outlook for tonight 4/10/13

Here's the latest information concerning the potential for severe weather tonight.

Generally, expect to see storm development start late this afternoon or early evening.  Counties in the Delta area should see storms between 8pm and 2am (generally west of Interstate 55).  Counties further east should see storms move through between 1am-7am, and counties in the far eastern side of the state between 7am and 12pm tomorrow.

All modes of severe weather are possible, including damaging winds, tornadoes, and hail.  Heavy rainfall is expected, with 2-4" possible across the area, and locally higher amounts may be possible as storms track slowly over some locations.  A Flash Flood Watch is in effect through Thursday morning.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
535 AM CDT WED APR 10 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE REGION WILL PRODUCE GUSTY
WINDS ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS FROM THE SOUTH
SOUTHEAST FROM 20 TO 30 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT GUSTS RANGING
FROM 30 TO 40 MPH AND A WIND ADVISORY IS IN AFFECT. THIS WILL CAUSE
HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES AS WELL AS
VEHICLES TRAVELING ON WEST TO EAST ORIENTED ROADS.

WIDESPREAD SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED EARLY THIS EVENING INTO
THURSDAY MORNING AS A LINE OF STORMS MOVES EAST INTO AND ACROSS THE
OUTLOOK AREA AND COMBINES WITH THE WARM MOIST UNSTABLE AND SHEARED
AIR MASS OVER THE REGION. FORECAST MODELS CONTINUE TO DEPICT A
VOLATILE ENVIRONMENT OVER THE OUTLOOK AREA SUPPORTIVE OF SEVERE
STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS TO AT LEAST 60 MPH...
LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES DURING
THIS TIME. PLEASE CONTINUE TO STAY TUNED FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND
MORE SPECIFICS AS THEY BECOME AVAILABLE REGARDING THIS SEVERE WEATHER
POTENTIAL THIS EVENING INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

IN ADDITION...WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
OUTLOOK AREA. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
ARE POSSIBLE FOR AREAS ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE
CORRIDOR WITH 1 TO 2 INCH AMOUNTS ELSEWHERE. INTENSE RAINFALL RATES
COULD RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING IN SOME LOCATIONS.
ALSO...SOME SMALL CREEKS...AREA RIVERS AND LOW LYING AREAS COULD
EXPERIENCE RISES IN WATER LEVELS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY...

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...THE ACTIVATION OF STORM
SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED
EARLY THIS EVENING INTO THURSDAY MORNING.
 

The map below shows anticipated rainfall for the 48-hour period between 7am Wednesday and 7am Friday

***DO NOT USE THIS WEBSITE AS YOUR SOLE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION, ESPECIALLY WATCHES AND WARNINGS. THIS WEBSITE DELIVERS FOCUSED INFORMATION FOR A SPECIFIC GEOGRAPHIC AREA AND IS NOT INTENDED TO PROVIDE TIMELY WEATHER WARNING INFORMATION***

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