Watches, Warnings & Advisories for Sunflower Co.

Monday, January 28, 2013

Update on potential storms for Tuesday

As mentioned yesterday, a strong cold front will approach the Mississippi area on Tuesday, bringing the possibility of strong to severe storms Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.  The primary risks associated with these storms are damaging winds up to 80 miles per hour, and strong tornadoes.

During the day Tuesday, counties in the Delta and along the Mississippi River can expect windy conditions, with sustained winds of 20-25 miles per hour and 40 mile per hour gusts.  Areas further east will see sustained 20mph winds with gusts up to 30-35mph.  A Wind Advisory will likely be issued.

As the graphic below illustrates, storms will affect areas west of Interstate 55 in the 8:00pm - 3:00am time frame.  Areas east of I-55 can expect to see storms between 2:00am and 8:00am Wednesday.  However, there is a slight chance that counties along the Mississippi River could see storms develop as early as 6:00-8:00pm Tuesday ahead of the main line of storms.  If they develop, these discrete storms could produce damaging winds and strong tornadoes.

Rainfall of 1/2" to 1" is generally expected across the area, with higher amounts possible in some locations.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
508 AM CST MON JAN 28 2013  
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT IS POSSIBLE
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY AS A POTENT STORM SYSTEM BRINGS
TOGETHER A COMBINATION OF INTENSE WIND SHEAR AND INSTABILITY. A
SQUALL LINE OF STORMS LOOKS TO IMPACT THE AREA AND BRING THE RISK FOR
DAMAGING WINDS...SOME AS HIGH AS 80 MPH ALONG WITH TORNADOES...SOME
OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY ALSO OCCUR AS
RICH MOISTURE WILL BE IN PLACE. PLEASE STAY TUNED FOR UPDATES
CONCERNING THIS POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TUESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY.
The following graphic illustrates the potential for severe thunderstorms within 25 miles of a given point before 6:00AM Wednesday.  The hatched area indicates a 10% probability of significant severe weather within 25 miles of a given point.

***DO NOT USE THIS WEBSITE AS YOUR SOLE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION, ESPECIALLY WATCHES AND WARNINGS. THIS WEBSITE DELIVERS FOCUSED INFORMATION FOR A SPECIFIC GEOGRAPHIC AREA AND IS NOT INTENDED TO PROVIDE TIMELY WEATHER WARNING INFORMATION***

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